GTA new home market flat in October: BILD

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) new home market was flat in October, according to the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD).

The Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD) recently announced that the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) new home market was flat in October and maintained gains from September in comparison to the three months of declines over the summer months.

According to Altus Group, BILD’s official source for new home market intelligence, there were 1,872 new home sales in October, which was down seven per cent from October 2022 and 50 per cent below the 10-year average.

“October new home sales eased across the GTA while inventory levels continued to climb,” said Edward Jegg, research manager with Altus Group. “Builders are testing the waters with new launches, gauging whether buyers are ready to re-engage.”

In terms of condominium apartments, including units in low, medium and high-rise buildings, stacked townhouses and loft units, they accounted for 1,304 units sold in October, down 20 per cent from October 2022 and 49 per cent below the 10-year average.

According to Altus Group, there were 568 single-family home sales in October, up 47 per cent from October 2022 and 51 per cent below the 10-year average.

There was an increase in total new home remaining inventory in comparison to the previous month, to 21,032 units. It included 17,930 condominium apartment units and 3,102 single-family dwellings. For the first time since 2016, inventory levels exceeded the 21,000 units and represents a combined inventory level of eight months, based on average sales for the last 12 months.

A balanced market has between nine to 12 months of inventory. Remaining inventory includes units in preconstruction projects, projects currently under construction as well as in completed buildings.

“With sales basically stable from September we are still seeing many new home buyers sitting on the sidelines versus what we would see in a typical October,” said Justin Sherwood, SVP communications & stakeholder relations at BILD. “This is entirely driven by the current monetary policy, interest rates and affordability erosion caused by the rising cost of living.  Delays in preconstruction sales means delays in adding housing supply and the impacts of slower sales will be lower future housing starts. The sooner the market gets indications that more moderate interest rates are on the horizon, the sooner we will see more added housing supply. ”

In October, benchmark prices increased for single-family homes and decreased for condominium apartments compared to the previous month.

The benchmark price for new condominium apartments was $1,023,102, which was down 10.8 per cent over the last 12 months. The benchmark price for new single-family homes was $1,629,245, which was down 10.3 per cent over the last 12 months.

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